[Gocamino] More on 2005 pilgrims

[Richard Ferguson <peregrino@att.net.]

When is the next Holy year?  I did a quick Google search and came up with nothing.

For what it is worth, the growth rate in the pilgrim count has apparently gone down somewhat, as the actual number of pilgrims in 2003, 2004, and 2005 is substantially less than I had projected in 2003.  I had done a simple exponential growth projection, figuring the growth would increase at the same rate as in the previous years.  When I looked at 2002 and years previous, I was seeing a growth rate of 24% year over year, at least for non-Holy Years.  Note that the 2004 Holy Year was only double 2003, while the 1999 Holy year had five times the number of pilgrims as 1998.  

Richard


 -------------- Original message ----------------------
From: Blaroli at aol.com
> Hello you all,
> 
> The number of pilgrims receiving the Compostela during 2005, a non-Xacobean 
> Holy year,  appears to have surprised the  Santiago Archdiocese, since it 
> represents a whooping increase over the numbers in other recent Non-Xacobean 
> Holy 
> years:  26% over 2003 and 71% (!) over 2000.
> Of the last two Holy years, the number of pilgrims receiving the Compostela 
> in 2004, 179,954, composed  an increase of only 16.4% over the numbers in 1999, 
> which were 154,613.  Yet, there was an immense amount of publicity and 
> enticements in 2004, which were totally discontinued in 2005; nevertheless the 
> percentage increase in 2005 over other non-Holy years was much larger.
> 
> Specifically, in the year 2000 s pilgrims receiving the Compostela were 
> 55,004;  in 2001 they were 61,418;  in 2002 they were 68,952, in 2003 they were 
> 74,614 and last year they were 93,924.
> 
> Any ideas about possible reasons?
> 
> Warm regards,
> 
> Rosina
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